Russia Can Lose This War...
From Exilenova+ - https://t.me/exilenova_plus/8608
Two words about the situation that occurred today.
The people who prepared this operation are true geniuses. This is the most ambitious military operation since World War II. Ronald Reagan is smiling from heaven.
Analysts assess the loss of dozens of long-range aircraft, which are critically important for the Russian nuclear forces and its military operations against Ukraine, as an extremely serious blow.
Russia no longer produces the Tu-95MS and Tu-22M3 aircraft, which were among the destroyed and damaged. This fact confirms the strategic failure of Russian military intelligence. Special respect to the people who participated in the preparation of this operation (which lasted a year and a half!) and ensured the complete absence of information leaks.
We are waiting for satellite images to accurately estimate the number of destroyed aircraft. It is important to note that only a few dozen combat-ready Tu-95 aircraft remained in the Russian Federation. This is a strategic loss for the aggressor country and an irreplaceable loss. In terms of cost-effectiveness, Ukraine's operation on June 1, 2025 has practically no analogues. One FPV drone used in Ukraine can cost from $300 to $600. For comparison, the modernized Russian strategic bomber Tu-95MS is estimated at more than $100 million. This is a difference in cost of more than 100 thousand times!
Respond to the alarm signals, especially in Kyiv, as the enemy will try to retaliate. We must be ready.
Glory to Ukraine! Glory to the Heroes who defend us! Take care of yourselves.
Lipetsk air base: https://t.me/exilenova_plus/8596
Murmansk air base - source: https://t.me/exilenova_plus/8591
source - https://t.me/DniproOfficial/6135
Combine those, with this:
and some good footage:
Putin has had his eye on Ukraine - and the rest of the ex-Communist Bloc countries for a long time - see this - and read it through, and compare with what Putin has been doing since 2004: https://streamfortyseven.substack.com/p/for-reference-john-dunlops-review Putin is a Soviet Communist along with the rest of his government, they've fooled the West into believing otherwise. Putin's specialty in the KGB was Deception Operations, by the way... And you can kind of get an idea about that, since he's partnered up with other Communist countries including PRC and North Korea. So so by all means look at the Dunlop article above, it will change your mind, it did that to me in March 2022. And I've read Dugin's work in the original Russian, it's a hard slog, but Dunlop has the thing down cold. There's not a single decent translation available anywhere - except for the important bits and pieces translated by Dunlop - so you can read that and get the point that Dugin is trying to put across - and it's obvious that it's the game plan that Putin has been following since 2004.
And I wouldn't put it past Putin to use a tactical nuke at some point to underline his threats, the West has been well-conditioned by his threats in limiting their response, in dribbling aid to Ukraine, too little and too late. And if a tactic is effective, there's no reason to stop using it. Either the West wakes the f*ck up, or someone is going to get nuked by Putin - count on it - and the "peace negotiations" are just another tactic. Putin has obviously internalized Sun Tzu's Art of War a lot of what he's been doing comes right out of that work.
But Ukraine has stopped him cold, for the past three years, and this week, he’s been caught with his pants around his ankles twice - once with the leaks on Russia’s nuclear forces (see https://meduza.io/en/feature/2025/05/29/behind-closed-blast-doors) and again with Ukraine’s surprise strikes on those forces this morning (see https://meduza.io/en/feature/2025/06/01/ukraine-says-it-destroyed-over-40-military-aircraft-in-major-attack-on-airfields-across-russia) - from inside Russia itself. He’s in a dangerous spot, it looks like he’s allowed Russia to be compromised from within - and forces within Russia may be looking for ways to put an end to him - and his cronies. If that does happen, it will happen quickly and with no notice - and probably a cut-off of all official communications - now including the internet, for at least a couple of days, perhaps up to a month, before the power struggle works itself out and we get so see who comes out on top, just like in Soviet times…
They hit the trifecta - Putin’s bridge hit:
LOL, three people unsubscribed (so far), which is one more than the usual average of two per post - people I've never heard of, not long term, I guess the notion of Russia losing - or continuing to lose, lose, lose, upsets them. And if anyone destroys Russia, it will be Putin and his siloviki and Gerasimov and Shoigu - they've managed to kill or maim nearly a million of their citizens/subjects for little or nothing. The next mobilization that Russia does, they may as well shoot the people who get sucked in on the spot, and save the expense of transporting them to Ukraine, to the meatgrinder, and back. It's a government run by delusional psychopathic f*ckups, a real pathocracy.
I'm thinking of putting some language on the subscribe part to the effect of this: "Read through my posts before you subscribe, I have certain viewpoints on certain issues that may piss you off, so you might want to have a look around before you subscribe...". Or I could do the now usual thing of asking $5 per month for new subs, on the theory that people would have a closer look at what they're getting into - all of the "don't let the door hit you in the ass as you're leaving" types have been free subscribers. What people get here is what I think about things, according to my knowledge and principles - I don't pander to readers. Actually, people who *do* pander to their readers and don't act - and write - in accordance with some sort of guiding principles, are pretty worthless, so far as I'm concerned.
This is ridiculous. Ronald Reagan is not smiling from heaven (or hell, wherever he is), because he did not launch reckless attacks on Siberia. This was not a Ukrainian attack. We need to call it what it was. It was a US attack ordered by Donald Trump, planned and executed by US personnel in the Ukraine. I think a Russian counterstrike of some description is more than justified - but Trump knows he has a coward in the Kremlin who will sit there and do nothing.