If This Ukraine Peace Plan Is For Real, It's A Total Surrender To Putin - Giving Him A Major Victory And Cementing Him In Power
Moreover, it would hand Ukraine's extensive rare earth mineral resources to Putin - along with offshore oil and gas. It would give Putin - using words - what Putin has been unable to get by force...
This deal, if it contains a grain of truth, would be disaster for Ukraine and Eastern Europe, it would reinforce Putin’s re-colonialization policies, and encourage him to take other territories by force. He’d learn that the West is as weak and feckless as it was in the 1930s, when the Sudetenland and Austria were handed over to Hitler.
Given what Trump has been doing in the US and in various other places in the world, reinforcing US power and security from its current position of weakness and lack of readiness, I find it exceedingly difficult to believe that Trump would fall for Putin’s land for peace deal - and that what this is, land for peace, the same bad deal that Israel made with the Palestinians in handing over Gaza to them, getting nearly 20 years of war in return, and the same bad deal that Neville “Peace In Our Time” Chamberlain made with Hitler and the Nazis in 1938 - only to face the invasion of Poland in 1939, and the rest of Europe soon after.
It would destroy US relations with its European allies, for they could no longer count on US aid to NATO to deter Russian aggression in the former Soviet colonies of Eastern Europe, they would have to go out on their own - and they would be much justified in acquiring their own nuclear weapons to deter Putin. And the “full faith and credit” of the US would be henceforth worthless - no one would ever risk again depending on the word and good faith of the US - and that would lead to a disastrous crippling of US negotiating power.
And then there’s China - yes, the US would disengage from Europe and be able to put its full force in the Pacific - but would there be the will to do so? I think the Chinese would take a gamble, and make their move on Taiwan, if they did it quick and easy - which they could, they could make it a fait accompli - and that would be a disaster for Japan and Australia/New Zealand. The Chinese would read it as a failure of US national will - and they might be correct - or they might not be, but it would be a gamble they might be willing to take.
And China has an advantage in the US, it already has 300,000 students and researchers here, and there’s no way of knowing how many are officers in the People’s Liberation Army - and then there’s the uncounted numbers of Chinese who have come across the Mexican border. Couple this with Chinese control of US port facilities, and their ability to infiltrate US digital infrastructure, China might find it easy to neutralize the US militarily and logistically. We need for Elon Musk, or someone like him, to root out the Chinese infiltrators and fellow-travellers in the US and in various agencies, as well.
Caving on Ukraine would set a very dangerous precedent and send a very bad message - apparently to be announced by Putin in Moscow on May 9th - Russia’s Victory Day - according to the Daily Mail article reported on below. I find it to be very hard to believe that Trump would assent to such a deal…
.Someone else doesn’t buy the scenario set out in the Daily Mail piece, either:
“Why do I think that Trump will be tough on Putin? Well, he still refuses to call Putin for one, and he forced the Kremlin to reverse their policy of referring to Zelensky as “illegitimate”. Now he’s legitimate again, according to Putin and Lavrov anyway.
The most damning piece of evidence for Trump being the hardliner as compared to Biden is the leaked “peace” deal that Trump is apparently going to put out at negotiations come Easter. The media is reporting on it dishonestly by framing it as a big Russian win. But the terms of the deal include NATO troops occupying 80% of Ukraine, including parts of the Donbass. Furthermore, duties raised on Russian energy will be used to pay for the rebuilding. In other words, Moscow will have to pay for the damage that they caused, which is traditionally what loser countries are forced to do after they lose a war. I believe that the only real thing that Putin and his cabal want are the lifting of sanctions and to freeze the situation in Donbass long enough for them to die in their beds comfortably before the next war kicks off.
But why bother speculating over this stuff when the terms will only change and these leaks are just strategic PR manipulation campaigns. Obviously, having NATO troops occupying Ukraine is a huge L, and that’s just the starting position. It can get much worse from here. Meanwhile, Zelensky is trying to improve his hand and stay in office by succeeding with these deeper incursions into Russia.
Livsci comments:
IMO the people running Russia just have no way out of this mess. Winning requires taking measures that are threatening to their status and way of life. Mobilizing manpower and industry for war requires redirecting resources away from yachts, savings in off shore accounts, tuscan villas and London penthouses etc. It would require reinvestment of profits into infrastructure as opposed to all the stuff I just mentioned and Moscow is rightfully terrified that is a Pandoras box they might not be able to close easily. But then if they just outright lose the war completely they might be standing trial for war crimes like they did with the Serbs leadership. Cant have that either.
So the whole objective is certainly not victory as we understand it but rather setting the clock to as close to pre Feb 22 as possible. At least I think thats what it was until Trump took over. Now it might simply be something as absolutely horrendous as partial sanction relief and keeping most of what they have on the current LBC. But thats obviously a harsh defeat. Especially if NATO is going to be policing the frontlines (NATO troops=the frontlines are manned, not being "policed") and Russian average citizens paying reparations..
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And finally, the UAF attack revealed yet another Kremlin cover-up in the area. We can call this caper “The Mystery of the Missing Brigade”. Here:
✨In general, the press release of the DIMK MO about today's events looks strange — one brigade, which was supposed to be there, is not mentioned at all. Perhaps because the reports from the field and the lines on the headquarters maps were drawn in thick pencil and it was not entirely clear where our positions were and where ours were not.
The actions of the Marine drone operators and especially Moses (Group Aida SPN "Akhmat (https://t.me/AptiAlaudinovAKHMAT/7945)") are not highlighted, the situation, as can be seen from the footage of objective control, looks too beautiful.
Although, in general, the information policy in the Kursk direction from the very beginning was based on not always objective data, to put it mildly.
Basically, the top generals had lied about the strength of the defense there.
Another take:
Today, many were surprised to find out that the brigades that supposedly hold some positions near Sudzha were only there on paper. In reality, they were never there. It's funny that it's the CIA agent Gerasim who reports in his folders to the wise politician [putin]. He can't figure out that the army that hasn't been able to liberate the border village for half a year definitely needs a new leader because it's not combat-ready. It's a disgrace!
It would make sense for Trump’s team to encourage these attacks ahead of the Easter talks to strengthen Washington’s hand and drive more concessions from Putin.
It would also make sense for Putin’s team to dig their heels in and not allow any more Russian territory to fall into UAF hands. Even if they are indeed CIA agents and traitors to Russia, they don’t want to be deposed outright, right? Surely they’ll actually take these offensives seriously. If they don’t then it would mean that in a nest of traitors and rats, there are still those who would betray the cabal to win a separate deal for themselves with Washington. Perhaps Putin can’t fully control his own cabal.
There are degrees of treachery, is what I am saying. Not letting the Russian army win in Ukraine is one degree, but letting the Ukrainians push deeper into Russia is a deeper degree. Perhaps Putin doesn’t know about these phantom brigades and that is a Gerasimov or Belousov plot to help Kiev strengthen their hand even more ahead of talks.”
There's more than that - Slavlands has shown that Putin is a globalist and anti-Russian nationalism - that comes out, too, in Alexey Navalny's book, Patriot: A Memoir. Check this out:
Also from Slavlands, this interesting bit from February 24, last year:
"Few people know or care that Washington used to subsidize Putin’s “United Russia” party [the Russian counterpart to the Uniparties in the US and UK] to the tune of hundreds of millions of dollars. But Victoria Nuland spilled the beans on this 10 years ago. Here:
United Russia received grants from the US Agency for International Development USAID, State Department spokesman Victoria Nuland said. According to her, the party participated in “some” programs of the International Republican Institute (IRI) and the National Democratic Institute for International Affairs (NDI).
It should be noted that on September 18, official Moscow announced the termination of USAID in Russia, later the Russian Foreign Ministry noted that "the nature of the organization’s work did not always meet the stated goals." In particular, it was an attempt to influence political processes in the country through the distribution of grants.
Victoria Nuland did not name the specific unicross programs that were supported by funding from the United States, but noted that it was about training for young leaders, supporting civil society and healthcare.
“We regret this decision,” US Ambassador to the Russian Federation Michael McFaul commented on this decision on Twitter. Recall, on the eve, extend the working life of USAID in Russia until May 2013. asked US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in a letter to Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov.
In Russia, USAID has funded programs for the development of civil society, democracy and human rights for over 20 years. It should be noted that the Golos association, which carries out independent election monitoring, also received grants. The latter, commenting on the decision of the Russian authorities, said that it would probably be forced to close its projects.
Kommersant, however, said that the withdrawal of USAID from Russia does not mean the complete deprivation of American support for local NGOs. At least three organizations closely associated with the US government continue to work here - the National Endowment for Democracy (NED), the National Democratic Institute (NDA) and the International Republican Institute (IRI)." Ibid.
Note that the National Democratic Institute (NDI) and the International Republican Institute (IRI) are the shadow state organizations behind the US DNC and RNC (perhaps until Trump...), respectively.
Putin is actively working to implement the WEF/UN/WHO program inside Russia, including universal biometric IDs, internal passports, "vaccinations", CBDCs, and so on... just like the globalists/oligarchs here and everywhere else. Interesting how "solutions" to "problems" are common, coordinated, and cross national borders...
It strikes me as amazing how to what extent US conservatives have been fooled by Putin and the likes of Tucker Carlson, et al., - "deceiving the very elect"...
Well, it would be the irony of some big oligarchs trying to steal the mineral rich land for themselves, rather than countries in the area own it. Ukraine needs to clean up its act if it's going to be a good steward of the land. Russia has its own corruption, but given the last alternative of Blackrock, et al, trying to steal it for their own purposes, this might be the best that can come from this.
The author sounds Jewish to me.