Discussion about this post

User's avatar
Steve Martin's avatar

Agreed that applying Bayesian probabilities, the chance of luck is highly improbable.

But from here in Japan, my more critical thinking and socially savvy Japanese friends agree with me. This whole thing was staged. Security agents allowing Trump to stand up and pump his fist for a photo-op before knowing if it was safe? Especially with Trump's intimate familiarity with Wrestlemania, that alone should have been enough to raise some eyebrows.

Just a Bayesian guess, but it was probably a co-ordinated effort by both "sides" of the corporate nation-state herding the naively patriotic with a Hollywood / kabuki-show slight of hand. That being said, my same Japanese friends feel the same about their own corporate nation-state. With the ruling LDP's nearly complete control of the mainstream media here (ranked 70th in the world for freedom of press by Reporters Without Borders), Koike's win in the mayoral race for Tokyo was a foregone conclusion. Important, because her tenure and influence over domestic policies will most likely eclipse that of Prime Minister Kishida.

Expand full comment
4 more comments...

No posts